Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.039612 0.043210 0.046855 0.050818 0.054997 0.059268 0.063956
2025-08-03 0.034506 0.039840 0.045441 0.051733 0.058580 0.065780 0.073901
2025-08-10 0.028670 0.034983 0.041840 0.049782 0.058670 0.068253 0.079311
2025-08-17 0.024898 0.031956 0.039859 0.049260 0.060032 0.071890 0.085831
2025-08-24 0.021816 0.029382 0.038104 0.048733 0.061171 0.075113 0.091769
2025-08-31 0.020305 0.028487 0.038147 0.050154 0.064445 0.080692 0.100341
2025-09-07 0.018811 0.027457 0.037902 0.051126 0.067112 0.085521 0.108033
2025-09-14 0.017349 0.026332 0.037427 0.051725 0.069262 0.089699 0.114945
2025-09-21 0.015874 0.025063 0.036668 0.051884 0.070811 0.093119 0.120938
2025-09-28 0.015109 0.024661 0.036951 0.053294 0.073854 0.098306 0.129029
2025-10-05 0.013575 0.023102 0.035645 0.052614 0.074252 0.100263 0.133235
2025-10-12 0.012491 0.022084 0.034977 0.052688 0.075541 0.103268 0.138681
2025-10-19 0.011731 0.021498 0.034883 0.053526 0.077841 0.107586 0.145833
2025-10-26 0.011168 0.021162 0.035102 0.054766 0.080659 0.112566 0.153837
2025-11-02 0.009628 0.019244 0.033038 0.052878 0.079385 0.112413 0.155511
2025-11-09 0.008673 0.018148 0.032063 0.052400 0.079898 0.114464 0.159887
2025-11-16 0.007795 0.017100 0.031096 0.051882 0.080315 0.116366 0.164064
2025-11-23 0.007540 0.017053 0.031582 0.053379 0.083411 0.121693 0.172552
2025-11-30 0.007179 0.016798 0.031739 0.054400 0.085867 0.126208 0.180040
2025-12-07 0.006746 0.016385 0.031631 0.055027 0.087785 0.130031 0.186668
2025-12-14 0.006237 0.015795 0.031220 0.055195 0.089063 0.133021 0.192244
2025-12-21 0.006059 0.015789 0.031710 0.056665 0.092125 0.138346 0.200818
2025-12-28 0.005424 0.014881 0.030734 0.055956 0.092164 0.139702 0.204311